Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.105634 0.163976 0.232737 0.317013 0.415195 0.524042 0.652072
2025-11-16 0.024596 0.079536 0.164293 0.285999 0.443809 0.632499 0.867558
2025-11-23 0.003667 0.044750 0.132011 0.274478 0.472742 0.720408 1.038442
2025-11-30 NaN 0.028073 0.118032 0.281950 0.522153 0.831135 1.235618
2025-12-07 NaN 0.014654 0.100507 0.278152 0.552229 0.914534 1.397043
2025-12-14 NaN 0.004938 0.079869 0.263329 0.563065 0.970626 1.522761
2025-12-21 NaN 0.003295 0.082264 0.288454 0.631844 1.102976 1.744624
2025-12-28 NaN 0.002162 0.085102 0.314034 0.701260 1.236326 1.968078
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000795 0.082330 0.327753 0.752303 1.344870 2.159967
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000703 0.090037 0.362857 0.836482 1.498583 2.410142
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000353 0.093240 0.388517 0.906078 1.632638 2.635335
2026-01-25 NaN NaN 0.085455 0.389899 0.937285 1.714112 2.792769
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.063699 0.357654 0.915897 1.725946 2.864602
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.043674 0.321905 0.885714 1.724164 2.918286
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.034521 0.310292 0.893590 1.774314 3.038598
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.032162 0.318092 0.934728 1.871992 3.222023
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.026750 0.314085 0.954491 1.938581 3.363926
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.019140 0.298253 0.951773 1.971829 3.460802
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.022164 0.325059 1.027156 2.119621 3.711834
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.025328 0.352277 1.103330 2.268671 3.964722
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.025386 0.366849 1.156379 2.383932 4.172341
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.031060 0.404063 1.250967 2.560179 4.462117
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.034265 0.431206 1.327144 2.709538 4.715891